A sourced record · January 20, 2025 — October 23, 2026
The Many Lies
of Donald
He says he kept every promise. So we counted them — what he said, when he said it, and what the record actually shows. Not everything failed. That is what makes the rest of it checkable.
“I've met all my promises. All my promises.”
What happened, in order
Fifty dated turns on the record between January 20, 2025 and October 23, 2026 — including seven separate reasons given for the same tariffs. Drag the date handle to replay the term. Click any point to read it.
The tell is not that the reasons changed. It is that none of them were ever revisited, corrected, or withdrawn — and the policy outlived all of them. In February 2026 the Supreme Court struck the original legal basis down. The tariffs were refiled under a different statute the same day, with a new reason attached.
The ledger
Twenty-three promises, in the order the record settled them — each with the quote, the verdict and a source. Nothing here is rated on vibes: every row has a citation or a named outlet.
Nothing in this category.
The numbers
Four measurements that do not depend on anyone's interpretation.
Gasoline, documented checkpoints
Dollars per gallon, national average. The war began in late February 2026.
158 days above $4.00 in 2026 — more than any prior year. Diesel near $6.30, an all-time high.
The deficit, after promising to cut it
Federal deficit, fiscal years, trillions of dollars.
$1.99T in FY2026 — the largest since 2021, the third-largest ever, 6.2% of GDP.
Deportations against the stated goal
Removals, Jan 20 2025 – Jul 31 2026, against a goal of one million a year.
DHS stopped publishing deportation statistics in January 2025; this count comes from FOIA'd data.
What happened to premiums
Average net ACA marketplace premium, indexed to 100 before the subsidies lapsed.
Projected, not yet observed: +114%, with about 4.8 million people losing coverage in 2026.
Announced, then not sent
Four times in eighteen months, a cash payment was promised to voters by name and amount. Four times, nothing was legislated, appropriated, or paid.
What he kept
An audit that finds nothing is not an audit. These are real, and they matter — partly because they show what he actually prioritizes when the promise is enforcement rather than delivery.
How to read this
What counts as a promise
A specific, checkable commitment — a number, a deadline, a named policy, or a stated reason for a policy. Rally rhetoric with no testable content is excluded, which makes this list shorter and harder to argue with than a compilation of every false statement.
What the dates mean
Each promise carries the date its outcome became documented, not the date it was promised. The timeline counts those dates, so “promises breached by this date” means the evidence existed by then — not that the failure happened that afternoon.
What the four labels mean
- Broken — the thing promised did not happen, or its opposite did.
- Partial — something adjacent was delivered, smaller or temporary.
- Kept — delivered as described.
- Pending — neither delivered nor abandoned.
Where the estimate labels are
Deportation counts are a floor, not a ceiling: the government stopped publishing them, so the figure is reconstructed from FOIA'd data. The premium figure is a projection. The deficit and price figures are observed. Each card says which it is.
What this is not
It is not a fact-check of every statement he has made — PolitiFact tracks 75 promises from this term alone and rates roughly a third as stalled. It is a sample chosen for checkability, weighted toward promises he repeated most and delivered least.
Sources
Compiled . No trackers, no cookies, no analytics. Corrections welcome — every row cites where it came from, so every row can be argued with.